Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 1.333894 1.511521 1.705964 1.934933 2.197588 2.489939 2.840659
2025-12-07 1.074190 1.309676 1.588555 1.944460 2.388427 2.926346 3.631071
2025-12-14 0.882468 1.140726 1.466526 1.910421 2.503666 3.275022 4.363454
2025-12-21 0.736687 0.999345 1.348513 1.851019 2.562860 3.545854 5.024670
2025-12-28 0.670969 0.950238 1.339328 1.927694 2.806583 4.089298 6.137235
2026-01-04 0.613013 0.901626 1.320725 1.982957 3.020304 4.611767 7.293978
2026-01-11 0.562502 0.855831 1.297914 2.024807 3.213766 5.123245 8.506635
2026-01-18 0.516454 0.810211 1.268128 2.048899 3.377731 5.604068 9.737233
2026-01-25 0.465712 0.750774 1.208704 2.015329 3.438206 5.915328 10.714182
2026-02-01 0.411953 0.680286 1.122984 1.925713 3.387825 6.022636 11.327724
2026-02-08 0.372121 0.628784 1.063159 1.873042 3.394525 6.229673 12.157149
2026-02-15 0.339429 0.586136 1.013870 1.832804 3.417471 6.466893 13.078635
2026-02-22 0.325850 0.576972 1.024707 1.908774 3.679606 7.218424 15.228362
2026-03-01 0.306351 0.555223 1.010646 1.936205 3.851337 7.817575 17.169787
2026-03-08 0.281983 0.521957 0.971599 1.909774 3.909650 8.189798 18.672183
2026-03-15 0.256786 0.484601 0.920838 1.853410 3.896928 8.406373 19.849434
2026-03-22 0.249043 0.480331 0.934201 1.931513 4.186504 9.339659 22.960849
2026-03-29 0.239479 0.471413 0.937154 1.987463 4.433971 10.214222 26.102921
2026-04-05 0.229307 0.460207 0.934126 2.029660 4.655227 11.060634 29.347732
2026-04-12 0.218332 0.446244 0.923791 2.053918 4.836806 11.837350 32.565329
2026-04-19 0.203450 0.422590 0.890242 2.020301 4.871201 12.242725 34.798363
2026-04-26 0.185493 0.390704 0.835633 1.930462 4.751385 12.222980 35.755088
2026-05-03 0.171928 0.367346 0.797995 1.877658 4.720781 12.441238 37.499774